Will Solar Power Be Dominant in the Next 15 years?

[Compro01]

I'm not even going to be cryptic in my predictions. Solar is never going to outpace biofuels for cost. And that's assuming there is no sociopolitical shift in views on fission power, and no advances whatsoever in fusion power.

In 80 to 150 years when we actually finally run out of fossil-based ground oil (assuming we don't find more somewhere and that our power needs keep growing steadily rather than somehow skyrocketing), sustainable biofuels will pretty seamlessly take over in almost exactly the same style powerplants that we have today.

Even if the currently most powerful country on earth adopts a political stance of using nothing but solar, the countries that stick to more efficient methods of producing power will grow to dominate the power consumption and drag the global average away from solar power.

Biofuels basically are solar, just at one remove.

Though biofuels may get upstaged by synthetic fuels produced using solar electricity, like the "fuel from seawater" thing that was in the news and being massively misinterpreted by people a few weeks ago.