In the year 2016, what percent of homes in the U.S. will have 3D Printers?
In the year 2016, what percent of homes in the U.S. will have 3D Printers?
My guess is that we will see about a 50% adoption rate by 2016. Only 3 years away, but I think we will see a ton of growth in the industry in the next couple years.
Even though I love this technology to bits, I voted 1%.
Most people don't have the knowledge to design their own objects, and I don't see a market to own a 3d printer if you just want to print models from online sources or scanners.
If Staples really puts one printer in every store - and perhaps some other companies with FFF plastic printers - then it's a more likely scenario I think :-)
I say 5-10%. 3D printing is catching on, but I don't think it will catch on that fast.
That's such a brilliant idea. Even other stores like Home Depot, or grocery stores might benefit from having 3D printers in store. It would certainly bring customers in.Quote:
If Staples really puts one printer in every store - and perhaps some other companies with FFF plastic printers - then it's a more likely scenario I think :-)
It certainly seems to be catching on like wild fire. However, I think there are too many barriers to entry, and too few people that really have a need to print much in 3D on a daily basis. It will take some time before we start seeing 3D printers in the average home.
Larry
I say about 15% of homes will have 3D printers. The majority of people will use online services and in store services I believe.
Depends, If the peachy system is getting better and better resulotions it may have a chance,
In my opinion Reprap was way to much work and it just doesnt always work without some knownledge about the device,
But if Peachy is getting improved and keeps the same amount as price goes (100-200e) i guess 15-20 procent.
But atm peachy is still low res imo.
My guess is 5%, 10% tops. I think for ready-made printers the price will have to come down to the $200US range before it starts attracting the casual user.
(I would not have become involved with 3D printing if it were not for the RepRap. I was in love with Makerbot, but it was going to take some smooth talking to get my wife onboard for $1000. I was able to source the RepRap Prusa myself "under the radar". Now my wife is all-in. But a Makerbot would still be a bit of a sell.)
I agree with DrLuigi. If the Peachy Printer or any 3D printer can have a price point of $200 or below and actually print quality by then there will likely be no real reason not to own one. The Filament or resin prices may end up being the main barrier to entry for many. My Dream is a good quality printer for under $200 and a cheap machine which will recycle plastics to act as filament. That would eb the perfect one two punch. I think by 2016-2017 both these will likely be available. Thus I will say 25% of household will own a printer, but growing fast.
Staples was meant to be selling 3D printers - I'm sure others like office works (in Aust) will do the same.
With the Peachy - Low cost printer, the percentage to rise.
Less than 1%. Depends on costs and practicalities of the whole thing though. And after I've said this, someone will come up with an online shop that sells 3D designs for printers, printing material, and makes it easily accessible and widespread to prove me wrong.. typical.
Anyways, there has to be some other use for it than "just for fun" and if most printers still cost close to $1000, I don't think so. However, if you could replicate spare parts for whatever with that 3D printer of yours, then that would be a killer product and I could see how it could still reach 1-10% by 2016. I don't think novelty values alone could take it that far though.
About 1%.
If you follow the current trend of doubling sales year over year, that will end with every home in the US as having a home printer in under 10 years. (That is likely where Disney got their prediction that in 10 years every household will have a 3D printer.)
In 2012, there were 80k printers sold, leaving a total of 155k in homes. We expect 160k to sell in 2013, 320k in 2014, and so on.
This means that in 2016 there would be 1.2 million units in homes. There are 115 million households.
So, about 1%.
But don't forget, 1% is still 1.2 million units! That's nothing to bat an eye at...
Drew Taylor
Cofounder, CEO
https://3Dagogo.com